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Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 5 · Portugal

Farense v Chaves

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Farense v Chaves: the model read

Farense meet Chaves in the Segunda Liga regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Farense, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors Chaves on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Farense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sporting CP B, D 1-1 v Felgueiras 1932, W 3-1 @ FC Porto B, W 2-1 v Torreense.

Chaves are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Felgueiras 1932, D 2-2 v AVS, L 0-1 @ Sporting CP B, L 1-4 v Academica.

Chaves hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves 2-0 Farense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Farense

LWWDL7-7-5

Scored 1.11 · Conceded 0.79 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 52.6%

  • LASporting CP B1-2
  • DHFelgueiras 19321-1
  • WAFC Porto B3-1
  • WHTorreense2-1
  • LHFulham1-2

Chaves

LLLDL7-1-11

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 1.74 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 57.9%

  • LAFelgueiras 19321-2
  • DHAVS2-2
  • LASporting CP B0-1
  • LHAcademica1-4
  • LAVitória SC0-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

FarenserecordChaves
3
4
1 draw

Goals

11-10

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Farense

Recent
LLDWLL
Wins 3Goals 11-10

Biggest win 5-0

Chaves

Recent
WWDLWW
Wins 4Goals 10-11

Biggest win 2-0

  • Chaves2-0Farense
  • Farense0-2Chaves
  • Chaves1-1Farense
  • Farense5-0Chaves
  • Farense1-2Chaves
  • Chaves2-1Farense
  • Chaves1-2Farense
  • Farense1-0Chaves

Managers

Jose de Almeida

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Filipe Martins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.