Torreense v Penafiel: the model read
Torreense meet Penafiel in the Segunda Liga regular season - 2 at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Torreense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Vizela, D 2-2 @ Lusitânia Lourosa, D 2-2 v Penafiel, L 1-2 @ Farense.
Penafiel are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ FC Porto B, W 2-0 v Sporting CP B, D 2-2 @ Torreense, L 0-1 v Portimonense.
Torreense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torreense 2-2 Penafiel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
