FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 7 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. The model makes Karlsruher SC the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% FC , 28% draw, 37% KAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 42%. Attacking output favors Karlsruher SC on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Karlsruher SC at 52%; double chance reads FC St. Pauli or draw 63%, Karlsruher SC or draw 65%.
FC St. Pauli arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
Karlsruher SC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Shimizu S-pulse, D 4-4 v SGV Freiberg, L 1-2 v VfL Bochum, D 2-2 @ SC Paderborn 07.
FC St. Pauli hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FC St. Pauli 6-1 Karlsruher SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
