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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9 · Portugal

Santa Clara v Benfica

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Santa Clara v Benfica: the model read

Santa Clara meet Benfica in the Primeira Liga regular season - 9.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 78%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.6 per match.

Santa Clara arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Alverca, W 1-0 v Famalicao, W 1-0 @ Academico Viseu, D 2-2 v Nacional.

Benfica are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Estoril, W 3-1 @ Aarhus, W 3-1 v Aarhus, W 7-0 @ Casa Pia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Santa Clara

WDWWD11-6-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • DAAlverca1-1
  • WHFamalicao1-0
  • WAAcademico Viseu1-0
  • DHNacional2-2
  • WHArouca3-0

Benfica

DWWWW13-5-2

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • WHEstoril2-1
  • WAAarhus3-1
  • WHAarhus3-1
  • WACasa Pia7-0
  • DAHeart Of Midlothian1-1

Managers

Petit

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Marco Silva

Portugal · 48

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Everton2018–2019
  • Watford2017–2018
  • Hull City2017–2017
  • Olympiakos2015–2016

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.