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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8 · Portugal

Maritimo v FC Porto

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Maritimo v FC Porto: the model read

Maritimo meet FC Porto in the Primeira Liga regular season - 8.

FC Porto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1581. Recent form leans FC Porto, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors FC Porto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Maritimo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Arouca, D 2-2 v Academico Viseu, W 2-1 @ Famalicao, W 1-0 v Casa Pia.

FC Porto are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Academico Viseu, W 2-0 v Arouca, W 2-0 @ Rio Ave, W 2-0 v Alverca.

FC Porto hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Maritimo 0-2 FC Porto.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Maritimo

DWWDL10-4-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAArouca1-2
  • DHAcademico Viseu2-2
  • WAFamalicao2-1
  • WHCasa Pia1-0
  • DHEstrela Calheta1-1

FC Porto

WWWWW14-3-3

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WAAcademico Viseu3-0
  • WHArouca2-0
  • WARio Ave2-0
  • WHAlverca2-0
  • WHTorreense1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MaritimorecordFC Porto
1
7
2 draws

Goals

8-21

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Maritimo

Recent
LLLDLW
Wins 1Goals 8-21

Biggest win 3-2

FC Porto

Recent
WWWDWL
Wins 7Goals 21-8

Biggest win 5-1

  • Maritimo0-2FC Porto
  • FC Porto5-1Maritimo
  • FC Porto2-1Maritimo
  • Maritimo1-1FC Porto
  • Maritimo1-2FC Porto
  • FC Porto2-3Maritimo
  • FC Porto1-0Maritimo
  • Maritimo1-1FC Porto
  • FC Porto3-0Maritimo
  • Maritimo0-2FC Porto

Managers

Mitchell van der Gaag

Head coach

In charge since 2026

F. Farioli

Italy · 36

In charge since 2025 · 4 teams managed

  • Ajax2024–2025
  • Nice2023–2024
  • Alanyaspor2021–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.