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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5 · Portugal

Sporting CP v Nacional

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sporting CP v Nacional: the model read

Sporting CP meet Nacional in the Primeira Liga regular season - 5.

Sporting CP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1420. Recent form leans Sporting CP, 73% against 38%. Attacking output favors Sporting CP on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.1 per match.

Sporting CP arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Rio Ave, W 3-1 v Alverca, W 3-2 v Vitória SC, D 2-2 @ Estrela.

Nacional are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Estrela, L 0-1 @ Vitória SC, W 2-0 v Estoril, D 2-2 @ Santa Clara.

Sporting CP hold the recent head-to-head, 10 wins to 0 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting CP 2-1 Nacional.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sporting CP

WDWWW12-5-3

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WARio Ave4-0
  • WHAlverca3-1
  • WHVitória SC3-2
  • DAEstrela2-2
  • WHNottingham Forest4-1

Nacional

LDWLL5-5-10

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • LHEstrela2-3
  • LAVitória SC0-1
  • WHEstoril2-0
  • DASanta Clara2-2
  • LAEstrela0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Sporting CPrecordNacional
10
0
0 draws

Goals

29-6

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Sporting CP

Recent
WWWWWW
Wins 10Goals 29-6

Biggest win 6-1

Nacional

Recent
LLLLLL
Wins 0Goals 6-29
  • Sporting CP2-1Nacional
  • Nacional1-4Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP2-0Nacional
  • Sporting CP3-1Nacional
  • Nacional1-6Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP2-0Nacional
  • Nacional0-2Sporting CP
  • Nacional0-1Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP5-2Nacional
  • Sporting CP2-0Nacional

Managers

Rui Borges

Portugal · 44

In charge since 2024 · 9 teams managed

  • Vitoria Guimaraes2024–2024
  • Moreirense2023–2024
  • Mafra2023–2023
  • Vilafranquense2022–2023

Tiago Margarido

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 3 teams managed

  • Varzim2022–2023
  • Canelas 20102019–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.