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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5 · Portugal

GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu

GIL Vicente meet Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Academico Viseu on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

GIL Vicente arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Famalicao, W 2-0 v Casa Pia, W 1-0 v Rio Ave, D 2-2 v Moreirense.

Academico Viseu are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v FC Porto, D 2-2 @ Maritimo, L 0-1 v Santa Clara, D 2-2 @ Benfica.

The market prices GIL at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Academico Viseu: a 14.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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GIL Vicente

WDWWD6-7-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 52.6%

  • DAFamalicao0-0
  • WHCasa Pia2-0
  • WHRio Ave1-0
  • DHMoreirense2-2
  • WHFC Porto1-0

Academico Viseu

DDLDL7-6-7

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LHFC Porto0-3
  • DAMaritimo2-2
  • LHSanta Clara0-1
  • DABenfica2-2
  • DACelta Vigo2-2

Managers

Luís Pinto

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Guimaraes2025–2026
  • Tondela2024–2025
  • Fafe2023–2024
  • Lusitânia Lourosa2022–2023

Sergio Fonseca

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.