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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1 · Portugal

Estrela v Sporting CP

2-2Full time· Estádio José Gomes, Amadora· Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Estrela v Sporting CP: the model read

Estrela meet Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga regular season - 1 at Estádio José Gomes, Amadora.

Sporting CP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1501. Recent form leans Sporting CP, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sporting CP on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.6 per match.

Estrela arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Nacional, D 2-2 @ Alverca, D 2-2 v Sporting CP, W 4-2 v Al-Nassr.

Sporting CP are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Rio Ave, W 3-1 v Alverca, W 3-2 v Vitória SC, D 2-2 @ Estrela.

Sporting CP hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estrela 2-2 Sporting CP.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Estrela

WWDDW6-5-6

Scored 1.59 · Conceded 1.29 · Clean sheets 29.4% · BTTS 52.9%

  • WANacional3-2
  • DAAlverca2-2
  • DHSporting CP2-2
  • WHAl-Nassr4-2
  • WHLusitano Évora 19111-0

Sporting CP

WDWWW12-5-3

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WARio Ave4-0
  • WHAlverca3-1
  • WHVitória SC3-2
  • DAEstrela2-2
  • WHNottingham Forest4-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

EstrelarecordSporting CP
0
7
1 draw

Goals

7-24

for each

Avg goals

3.9

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

88%

3+ goals

Estrela

Recent
DLLLLL
Wins 0Goals 7-24

Sporting CP

Recent
DWWWWW
Wins 7Goals 24-7

Biggest win 4-0

  • Estrela2-2Sporting CP
  • Estrela0-1Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP4-0Estrela
  • Estrela0-3Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP5-1Estrela
  • Estrela1-2Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP3-2Estrela
  • Estrela1-4Sporting CP

Managers

C. Bacci

Italy · 50

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

  • Panserraikos2025–2025
  • Tondela2025–2025
  • Moreirense2025–2025
  • Boavista2024–2025

Rui Borges

Portugal · 44

In charge since 2024 · 9 teams managed

  • Vitoria Guimaraes2024–2024
  • Moreirense2023–2024
  • Mafra2023–2023
  • Vilafranquense2022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.