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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 · Germany

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

· MHPArena, Stuttgart

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Match analysisPre-match brief

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund: the model read

VfB Stuttgart meet Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga regular season - 4 at MHPArena, Stuttgart.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.

VfB Stuttgart arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Bayern München, W 4-0 @ Hansa Rostock, L 0-1 @ Fulham, W 3-1 v Everton.

Borussia Dortmund are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ HEBC, W 2-0 v Hamburger SV, L 1-2 v Bayern München, D 2-2 v AS Roma.

VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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VfB Stuttgart

DWLWL10-4-6

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LABayern München1-5
  • WAHansa Rostock4-0
  • LAFulham0-1
  • WHEverton3-1
  • DHParis FC2-2

Borussia Dortmund

WDLWW12-1-7

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WAHEBC5-0
  • WHHamburger SV2-0
  • LHBayern München1-2
  • DHAS Roma2-2
  • WAArsenal3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

VfB StuttgartrecordBorussia Dortmund
5
3
2 draws

Goals

18-18

for each

Avg goals

3.6

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

VfB Stuttgart

Recent
LDWWWW
Wins 5Goals 18-18

Biggest win 5-1

Borussia Dortmund

Recent
WDLLLL
Wins 3Goals 18-18

Biggest win 5-0

  • VfB Stuttgart0-2Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund3-3VfB Stuttgart
  • Borussia Dortmund1-2VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart5-1Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund0-1VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart2-0Borussia Dortmund
  • VfB Stuttgart2-1Borussia Dortmund
  • VfB Stuttgart3-3Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund5-0VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart0-2Borussia Dortmund

Managers

S. Hoeneb

Germany · 43

In charge since 2023 · 4 teams managed

  • Hoffenheim2020–2022
  • Bayern München II2019–2020
  • Bayern München U192017–2019
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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.