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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2 · Germany

Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig

· Weserstadion, Bremen

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen meet RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga regular season - 2 at Weserstadion, Bremen.

RB Leipzig rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1523. Recent form leans RB Leipzig, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors RB Leipzig on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Werder Bremen arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, W 3-0 @ Lüneburger SK Hansa, L 0-1 v Auxerre, D 2-2 v SC Paderborn 07.

RB Leipzig are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Borussia Mönchengladbach, W 6-0 @ Eintracht Trier, L 1-3 @ Bayern München, L 0-2 @ Leeds.

RB Leipzig hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig.

The market prices WER at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Werder Bremen: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Werder Bremen

WDLWL9-2-9

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LASC Freiburg1-4
  • WALüneburger SK Hansa3-0
  • LHAuxerre0-1
  • DHSC Paderborn 072-2
  • WAEnergie Cottbus4-2

RB Leipzig

WLLWW13-1-6

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • WHBorussia Mönchengladbach3-0
  • WAEintracht Trier6-0
  • LABayern München1-3
  • LALeeds0-2
  • WHVerl4-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Werder BremenrecordRB Leipzig
0
6
4 draws

Goals

8-16

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Werder Bremen

Recent
LLDLDD
Wins 0Goals 8-16

RB Leipzig

Recent
WWDWDD
Wins 6Goals 16-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Werder Bremen1-2RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig2-0Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen0-0RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig4-2Werder Bremen
  • RB Leipzig1-1Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen1-1RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig0-0Werder Bremen
  • RB Leipzig2-1Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen1-2RB Leipzig
  • Werder Bremen1-2RB Leipzig

Managers

Daniel Thioune

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Martin Demichelis

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Mallorca2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.