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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 · Germany

FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

3-0Full time· WWK Arena, Augsburg· Referee: S. Stegemann

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg meet FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga regular season - 1 at WWK Arena, Augsburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 65%. Attacking output favors FC Augsburg on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.

FC Augsburg arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 23 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 @ Energie Cottbus, L 0-4 @ Leeds, W 3-2 v Sassuolo.

FC Schalke 04 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ FC Augsburg, W 5-2 @ Hallescher FC, L 0-3 v Real Madrid, L 0-3 v Atalanta.

FC Augsburg hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04.

The market prices FC at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Schalke 04: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Augsburg

WWLWW10-4-6

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHFC Schalke 043-0
  • WAEnergie Cottbus2-0
  • LALeeds0-4
  • WHSassuolo3-2
  • WASchwaz15-0

FC Schalke 04

WLLWL12-2-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LAFC Augsburg0-3
  • WAHallescher FC5-2
  • LHReal Madrid0-3
  • LHAtalanta0-3
  • WAHessen Kassel5-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FC AugsburgrecordFC Schalke 04
4
2
4 draws

Goals

18-10

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

FC Augsburg

Recent
WWDWDL
Wins 4Goals 18-10

Biggest win 3-0

FC Schalke 04

Recent
LLDLDW
Wins 2Goals 10-18

Biggest win 1-0

  • FC Augsburg3-0FC Schalke 04
  • FC Augsburg3-0FC Schalke 04
  • FC Augsburg1-1FC Schalke 04
  • FC Schalke 042-3FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg1-1FC Schalke 04
  • FC Schalke 041-0FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg2-2FC Schalke 04
  • FC Schalke 040-3FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg2-3FC Schalke 04
  • FC Schalke 040-0FC Augsburg

Managers

Manuel Baum

Head coach

In charge since 2026

J. Fimpel

Germany · 36

In charge since 2025 · 2 teams managed

  • Schalke 042024–2024
  • Schalke 04 II2022–2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.