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Ligue 3 · Regular Season - 10 · France

Concarneau v Bastia

· Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Concarneau v Bastia: the model read

Concarneau meet Bastia in the Ligue 3 regular season - 10 at Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Concarneau on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Concarneau arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Thionville Lusitanos, D 0-0 @ Valenciennes, W 2-0 v Villefranche, D 1-1 @ Quevilly.

Bastia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Amiens, W 1-0 @ Caen, L 2-3 v Versailles, W 1-0 @ Aubagne.

Bastia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Bastia 2-0 Concarneau.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Concarneau

LDWDD5-9-6

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • DHThionville Lusitanos2-2
  • DAValenciennes0-0
  • WHVillefranche2-0
  • DAQuevilly1-1
  • LHOrleans0-2

Bastia

LWLWL4-8-8

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHAmiens0-3
  • WACaen1-0
  • LHVersailles2-3
  • WAAubagne1-0
  • LHLe Puy Foot0-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

ConcarneaurecordBastia
0
1
4 draws

Goals

6-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Concarneau

Recent
LDDDD
Wins 0Goals 6-8

Bastia

Recent
WDDDD
Wins 1Goals 8-6

Biggest win 2-0

  • Bastia2-0Concarneau
  • Concarneau0-0Bastia
  • Bastia1-1Concarneau
  • Concarneau1-1Bastia
  • SC Bastia4-4Concarneau

Managers

Stephane Rossi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

B. Tavenot

France · 48

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Dijon2023–2024
  • Borgo2018–2018
  • Bastia II2009–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.