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Ligue 3 · Regular Season - 7 · France

Concarneau v Caen

· Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Concarneau v Caen: the model read

Concarneau meet Caen in the Ligue 3 regular season - 7 at Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Caen, 61% against 48%. Attacking output favors Caen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Concarneau arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Thionville Lusitanos, D 0-0 @ Valenciennes, W 2-0 v Villefranche, D 1-1 @ Quevilly.

Caen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-1 v Bastia, W 1-0 v Aubagne, L 3-4 @ Thionville Lusitanos.

Caen hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caen 0-0 Concarneau.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Concarneau

LDWDD5-9-6

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • DHThionville Lusitanos2-2
  • DAValenciennes0-0
  • WHVillefranche2-0
  • DAQuevilly1-1
  • LHOrleans0-2

Caen

WLWLW9-5-5

Scored 1.89 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WABourg-en-bresse 012-0
  • LHBastia0-1
  • WHAubagne1-0
  • LAThionville Lusitanos3-4
  • WHValenciennes4-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

ConcarneaurecordCaen
1
2
2 draws

Goals

4-6

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

20%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Concarneau

Recent
DDWLL
Wins 1Goals 4-6

Biggest win 1-0

Caen

Recent
DDLWW
Wins 2Goals 6-4

Biggest win 2-0

  • Caen0-0Concarneau
  • Concarneau3-3Caen
  • Concarneau1-0Caen
  • Caen1-0Concarneau
  • Concarneau0-2Caen

Managers

Stephane Rossi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Gael Clichy

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.