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National 1 · Regular Season - 2 · France

Valenciennes v Bourg-en-bresse 01

· Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Valenciennes v Bourg-en-bresse 01: the model read

Valenciennes meet Bourg-en-bresse 01 in the National 1 regular season - 2 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes. The model makes Valenciennes the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% VAL, 33% draw, 29% BOU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 42%. Attacking output favors Valenciennes on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Valenciennes at 57%; double chance reads Valenciennes or draw 71%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 or draw 62%.

Valenciennes arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Eastleigh, D 1-1 @ Kortrijk, W 2-0 @ Dunkerque, D 2-2 v Chateauroux.

Bourg-en-bresse 01 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Dijon, D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 1-0 v Valenciennes, W 1-0 v Villefranche.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1-0 Valenciennes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Valenciennes

LDWDW7-5-7

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WAEastleigh3-0
  • DAKortrijk1-1
  • WADunkerque2-0
  • DHChateauroux2-2
  • LABourg-en-bresse 010-1

Bourg-en-bresse 01

LWWDL6-4-9

Scored 0.79 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 36.8%

  • LHDijon1-2
  • DAGrenoble0-0
  • WHValenciennes1-0
  • WHVillefranche1-0
  • LASochaux1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

ValenciennesrecordBourg-en-bresse 01
3
3
4 draws

Goals

15-12

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Valenciennes

Recent
LWLLDW
Wins 3Goals 15-12

Biggest win 3-1

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Recent
WLWWDL
Wins 3Goals 12-15

Biggest win 1-0

  • Bourg-en-bresse 011-0Valenciennes
  • Valenciennes3-1Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • Bourg-en-bresse 011-0Valenciennes
  • Valenciennes1-2Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • Valenciennes2-2Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • Bourg-en-bresse 011-3Valenciennes
  • Bourg-en-bresse 010-2Valenciennes
  • Valenciennes3-3Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • Bourg-en-bresse 010-0Valenciennes
  • Valenciennes1-1Bourg-en-bresse 01

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

D. Le Frapper

France · 54

In charge since 2024 · 8 clubs managed

  • Besançon2022–2023
  • Racing Besançon2022–2024
  • Rousset-Ste Victoire2021–2022
  • Ardziv2020–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.