Where the market is wrong on Cham v Brühl
Cham meet Brühl in the 1. Liga Promotion regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Brühl on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Cham arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Brühl, L 0-2 @ YF Juventus, W 4-0 v Zürich II, D 1-1 v Bellinzona.
Brühl are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cham, D 1-1 v FC Schaffhausen, L 0-3 @ Basel II, W 4-1 v Amical Saint-Prex.
Brühl hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cham 2-1 Brühl.
The market prices CHA at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Brühl: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
