Bellinzona v Bavois: the model read
Bellinzona meet Bavois in the 1. Liga Promotion group stage. The model makes Bavois the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 27% BEL, 26% draw, 47% BAV.
Bavois rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Bavois, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Bavois on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Bavois at 63%; double chance reads Bellinzona or draw 53%, Bavois or draw 73%.
Bellinzona arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Étoile Carouge, L 2-4 v FC WIL 1900, L 0-5 @ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, L 2-4 v Rapperswil.
Bavois are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 8-0 @ La Sarraz-Eclépens, D 0-0 @ Echallens, W 1-0 v Meyrin, W 2-1 v Chênois.
Bellinzona hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Bavois 0-1 Bellinzona.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
