Where the market is wrong on Mijas Las Lagunas v Tamaraceite
Mijas Las Lagunas meet Tamaraceite in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mijas Las Lagunas, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tamaraceite on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Mijas Las Lagunas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 v Tamaraceite, D 1-1 @ Antoniano, D 1-1 v Ciudad de Lucena, L 0-4 @ Puente Genil.
Tamaraceite are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 @ Mijas Las Lagunas, L 1-3 v Recreativo Huelva, L 0-1 @ Sanluqueño, L 0-1 v Sevilla Atletico.
The market prices MIJ at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Tamaraceite: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
