Alcoyano v Cieza: the model read
Alcoyano meet Cieza in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 1 at Estadio El Collao, Alcoy. The model makes Cieza the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 25% ALC, 37% draw, 38% CIE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cieza, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Cieza on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans Cieza at 60%; double chance reads Alcoyano or draw 62%, Cieza or draw 75%.
Alcoyano arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SS Reyes, L 0-2 v SS Reyes, D 0-0 @ Porreres, W 2-0 v Sant Andreu.
Cieza are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Muleño, W 3-1 v Bala Azul, D 2-2 @ Olímpico Totana, D 1-1 v Cartagena LU II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
