Where the market is wrong on Osasuna II v Calamocha
Osasuna II meet Calamocha in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 5 at Tajonar Facilities Stadium, Pamplona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Calamocha, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Calamocha on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Osasuna II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Girona II, W 1-0 v Ebro, W 4-1 v Arnedo, W 1-0 @ Reddis.
Calamocha are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Tudelano, W 3-2 v UD Logroñés II, L 0-5 @ Espanyol II, L 0-1 v Terrassa.
The market prices OSA at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Calamocha: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
