Where the market is wrong on Ebro v Terrassa
Ebro meet Terrassa in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ebro on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Ebro arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Terrassa, L 0-1 @ Osasuna II, W 2-0 v Reddis, D 2-2 @ Olot.
Terrassa are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ebro, W 1-0 @ Arnedo, W 4-0 v Binéfar, D 0-0 v Barbastro.
The market prices EBR at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
