Where the market is wrong on Sportist Svoge v Marek
Sportist Svoge meet Marek in the Second League regular season - 6 at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge.
The baseline ratings are close, 1458 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Marek, 58% against 42%. Attacking output favors Marek on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Sportist Svoge arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Rilski Sportist, D 0-0 v Marek, L 0-1 @ Yantra 2019, L 0-1 v Nesebar.
Marek are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Nesebar, D 0-0 @ Sportist Svoge, W 4-2 v Dobrudzha, L 0-1 @ Montana.
Sportist Svoge hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sportist Svoge 0-0 Marek.
The market prices SPO at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Marek: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
