Beroe v Hebar 1918: the model read
Beroe meet Hebar 1918 in the Second League regular season - 1 at Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora. The model makes Hebar 1918 the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% BER, 32% draw, 35% HEB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Hebar 1918 on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Hebar 1918 at 51%; double chance reads Beroe or draw 65%, Hebar 1918 or draw 67%.
Beroe arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Hebar 1918, D 0-0 v Zagorets, L 1-2 v Maritsa Milevo, L 0-4 @ Botev Plovdiv.
Hebar 1918 are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Beroe, L 1-2 @ Septemvri Sofia, L 0-1 v Ballkani, L 0-1 @ Sportist Svoge.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918.
The market prices BER at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Hebar 1918: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
