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La Liga · Regular Season - 9 · Spain

Celta Vigo v Alaves

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Celta Vigo v Alaves: the model read

Celta Vigo meet Alaves in the La Liga regular season - 9.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alaves, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Celta Vigo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.

Alaves are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villarreal, D 1-1 @ Rayo Vallecano, W 3-0 v Getafe, D 1-1 @ Racing Santander.

Celta Vigo hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celta Vigo 3-4 Alaves.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Celta Vigo

WDDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAthletic Club0-2
  • LHOsasuna1-2
  • DAValencia0-0
  • DANapoli1-1
  • WASassuolo4-1

Alaves

WDWDW8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHVillarreal1-0
  • DARayo Vallecano1-1
  • WHGetafe3-0
  • DARacing Santander1-1
  • WHCastellón3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Celta VigorecordAlaves
6
2
2 draws

Goals

19-12

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Celta Vigo

Recent
LWDWLD
Wins 6Goals 19-12

Biggest win 4-0

Alaves

Recent
WLDLWD
Wins 2Goals 12-19

Biggest win 3-0

  • Celta Vigo3-4Alaves
  • Alaves0-1Celta Vigo
  • Alaves1-1Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo2-1Alaves
  • Alaves3-0Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo1-1Alaves
  • Celta Vigo4-0Alaves
  • Alaves1-2Celta Vigo
  • Alaves1-3Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo2-0Alaves

Managers

Claudio Giraldez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Quique Sanchez Flores

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.