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La Liga · Regular Season - 8 · Spain

Real Madrid v Villarreal

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Madrid v Villarreal: the model read

Real Madrid meet Villarreal in the La Liga regular season - 8.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Real Madrid arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.

Villarreal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alaves, D 2-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 @ Racing Santander, W 2-1 @ Galatasaray.

Real Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Madrid

WWWWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHMalaga4-0
  • WHReal Sociedad4-1
  • WAEspanyol2-1
  • WAFC Schalke 043-0
  • WADeportivo La Coruna1-0

Villarreal

WWDDL9-5-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LAAlaves0-1
  • DAAtletico Madrid2-2
  • DARacing Santander2-2
  • WAGalatasaray2-1
  • WHLevante1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Real MadridrecordVillarreal
6
2
2 draws

Goals

23-14

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Real Madrid

Recent
WWWWDW
Wins 6Goals 23-14

Biggest win 4-1

Villarreal

Recent
LLLLDL
Wins 2Goals 14-23

Biggest win 3-2

  • Villarreal0-2Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid3-1Villarreal
  • Villarreal1-2Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid2-0Villarreal
  • Villarreal4-4Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid4-1Villarreal
  • Real Madrid2-3Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-3Real Madrid
  • Villarreal2-1Real Madrid
  • Villarreal0-0Real Madrid

Managers

José Mourinho

Portugal · 62

In charge since 2026 · 10 teams managed

  • Benfica2025–2026
  • Roma2021–2024
  • Tottenham Hotspur2019–2021
  • Manchester United2016–2018

Inigo Perez

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Rayo Vallecano2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.