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La Liga · Regular Season - 7 · Spain

Valencia v Real Sociedad

· Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Valencia v Real Sociedad: the model read

Valencia meet Real Sociedad in the La Liga regular season - 7 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Real Sociedad on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.

Valencia arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-1 v Real Betis, D 0-0 v Celta Vigo, L 0-1 v Teruel.

Real Sociedad are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 3-4 Valencia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Valencia

LLDLL7-4-9

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LADeportivo La Coruna1-3
  • LHReal Betis0-1
  • DHCelta Vigo0-0
  • LHTeruel0-1
  • LHNewcastle1-2

Real Sociedad

LLLLW4-7-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • WHEspanyol2-1
  • LAReal Madrid1-4
  • LAReal Betis0-1
  • LAChelsea1-3
  • LA1. FC Köln1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

ValenciarecordReal Sociedad
3
3
4 draws

Goals

8-10

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Valencia

Recent
WDWLLL
Wins 3Goals 8-10

Biggest win 4-3

Real Sociedad

Recent
LDLWWW
Wins 3Goals 10-8

Biggest win 3-0

  • Real Sociedad3-4Valencia
  • Valencia1-1Real Sociedad
  • Valencia1-0Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad3-0Valencia
  • Real Sociedad1-0Valencia
  • Valencia0-1Real Sociedad
  • Valencia1-0Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad1-1Valencia
  • Valencia0-0Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad0-0Valencia

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.