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La Liga · Regular Season - 7 · Spain

Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano

· Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano: the model read

Osasuna meet Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga regular season - 7 at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Rayo Vallecano on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Osasuna arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Getafe, W 2-1 @ Celta Vigo, D 0-0 v Levante, L 0-2 v Al Ain.

Rayo Vallecano are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Barcelona, D 1-1 v Alaves, L 1-2 @ Sevilla, L 0-3 @ Ipswich.

Osasuna hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Osasuna.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Osasuna

LLDWW7-4-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHGetafe1-0
  • WACelta Vigo2-1
  • DHLevante0-0
  • LHAl Ain0-2
  • LANapoli1-2

Rayo Vallecano

WLLDL8-4-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LABarcelona2-5
  • DHAlaves1-1
  • LASevilla1-2
  • LAIpswich0-3
  • WACharleroi3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

OsasunarecordRayo Vallecano
6
3
1 draw

Goals

16-10

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Osasuna

Recent
WWDLLW
Wins 6Goals 16-10

Biggest win 3-0

Rayo Vallecano

Recent
LLDWWL
Wins 3Goals 10-16

Biggest win 3-1

  • Rayo Vallecano1-3Osasuna
  • Osasuna2-0Rayo Vallecano
  • Osasuna1-1Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano3-1Osasuna
  • Rayo Vallecano2-1Osasuna
  • Osasuna1-0Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano2-1Osasuna
  • Osasuna2-1Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano0-3Osasuna
  • Osasuna1-0Rayo Vallecano

Managers

Luis Ramis

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Burgos2025–2026

Benat San Jose

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Eibar2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.