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La Liga · Regular Season - 7 · Spain

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid

· Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid: the model read

Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid in the La Liga regular season - 7 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.

Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1535. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Atletico Madrid arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Sevilla, D 2-2 v Villarreal, W 2-0 v Malaga, W 2-1 @ Marseille.

Real Madrid are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.

Real Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Madrid 3-2 Atletico Madrid.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atletico Madrid

LWWDW9-3-8

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WASevilla3-1
  • DHVillarreal2-2
  • WHMalaga2-0
  • WAMarseille2-1
  • LAManchester City1-3

Real Madrid

WWWWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHMalaga4-0
  • WHReal Sociedad4-1
  • WAEspanyol2-1
  • WAFC Schalke 043-0
  • WADeportivo La Coruna1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Atletico MadridrecordReal Madrid
3
4
3 draws

Goals

20-19

for each

Avg goals

3.9

per game

BTTS

90%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Atletico Madrid

Recent
LLWWLD
Wins 3Goals 20-19

Biggest win 5-2

Real Madrid

Recent
WWLLWD
Wins 4Goals 19-20

Biggest win 5-3

  • Real Madrid3-2Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid1-2Real Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid5-2Real Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid1-0Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid2-1Atletico Madrid
  • Real Madrid1-1Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid1-1Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid1-1Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid4-2Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid5-3Atletico Madrid

Managers

D. Simeone

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2011 · 6 teams managed

  • Racing Club2011–2011
  • Catania2011–2011
  • San Lorenzo2009–2010
  • River Plate2007–2008

José Mourinho

Portugal · 62

In charge since 2026 · 10 teams managed

  • Benfica2025–2026
  • Roma2021–2024
  • Tottenham Hotspur2019–2021
  • Manchester United2016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.