Where the market is wrong on Real Sociedad v Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad meet Celta Vigo in the La Liga regular season - 6 at Anoeta, San Sebastian.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 43%. Attacking output favors Real Sociedad on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Real Sociedad arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.
Celta Vigo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.
Real Sociedad hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo.
The market prices REA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Celta Vigo: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
