Skip to content
La Liga · Regular Season - 6 · Spain

Malaga v Villarreal

· Estadio La Rosaleda

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Malaga v Villarreal: the model read

Malaga meet Villarreal in the La Liga regular season - 6 at Estadio La Rosaleda, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Malaga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.

Malaga arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Madrid, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 v Fulham.

Villarreal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alaves, D 2-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 @ Racing Santander, W 2-1 @ Galatasaray.

Villarreal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2018: Malaga 1-0 Villarreal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Malaga

LDLDL8-7-5

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAReal Madrid0-4
  • DHDeportivo La Coruna1-1
  • LAAtletico Madrid0-2
  • DHFulham2-2
  • LAAD Ceuta FC1-2

Villarreal

WWDDL9-5-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LAAlaves0-1
  • DAAtletico Madrid2-2
  • DARacing Santander2-2
  • WAGalatasaray2-1
  • WHLevante1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MalagarecordVillarreal
2
5
3 draws

Goals

7-11

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

10%

3+ goals

Malaga

Recent
WLDLLL
Wins 2Goals 7-11

Biggest win 2-0

Villarreal

Recent
LWDWWW
Wins 5Goals 11-7

Biggest win 2-0

  • Malaga1-0Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-0Malaga
  • Villarreal1-1Malaga
  • Malaga0-2Villarreal
  • Villarreal1-0Malaga
  • Malaga0-1Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-1Malaga
  • Malaga1-1Villarreal
  • Malaga2-0Villarreal
  • Villarreal1-1Malaga

Managers

Juan Funes

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Inigo Perez

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Rayo Vallecano2025–2026

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.