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La Liga · Regular Season - 5 · Spain

Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano: the model read

Real Madrid meet Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga regular season - 5.

Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1512. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.

Real Madrid arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.

Rayo Vallecano are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Barcelona, D 1-1 v Alaves, L 1-2 @ Sevilla, L 0-3 @ Ipswich.

Real Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Real Madrid

WWWWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHMalaga4-0
  • WHReal Sociedad4-1
  • WAEspanyol2-1
  • WAFC Schalke 043-0
  • WADeportivo La Coruna1-0

Rayo Vallecano

WLLDL8-4-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LABarcelona2-5
  • DHAlaves1-1
  • LASevilla1-2
  • LAIpswich0-3
  • WACharleroi3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Real MadridrecordRayo Vallecano
5
1
4 draws

Goals

15-11

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Real Madrid

Recent
WDWDDD
Wins 5Goals 15-11

Biggest win 2-1

Rayo Vallecano

Recent
LDLDDD
Wins 1Goals 11-15

Biggest win 3-2

  • Real Madrid2-1Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano0-0Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid2-1Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano3-3Real Madrid
  • Rayo Vallecano1-1Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid0-0Rayo Vallecano
  • Real Madrid2-1Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano3-2Real Madrid
  • Rayo Vallecano0-1Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid2-1Rayo Vallecano

Managers

José Mourinho

Portugal · 62

In charge since 2026 · 10 teams managed

  • Benfica2025–2026
  • Roma2021–2024
  • Tottenham Hotspur2019–2021
  • Manchester United2016–2018

Benat San Jose

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Eibar2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.