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La Liga · Regular Season - 4 · Spain

Malaga v Levante

· Estadio La Rosaleda

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Malaga v Levante: the model read

Malaga meet Levante in the La Liga regular season - 4 at Estadio La Rosaleda, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Malaga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Malaga arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Madrid, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 v Fulham.

Levante are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Real Betis, D 0-0 @ Osasuna, L 0-3 @ Espanyol, W 3-1 @ Castellón.

Levante hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Malaga 1-1 Levante.

The market prices MAL at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Levante: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Malaga

LDLDL8-7-5

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAReal Madrid0-4
  • DHDeportivo La Coruna1-1
  • LAAtletico Madrid0-2
  • DHFulham2-2
  • LAAD Ceuta FC1-2

Levante

LWLDW11-3-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHReal Betis5-2
  • DAOsasuna0-0
  • LAEspanyol0-3
  • WACastellón3-1
  • LAVillarreal0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MalagarecordLevante
2
4
4 draws

Goals

8-12

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Malaga

Recent
DLDLLD
Wins 2Goals 8-12

Biggest win 3-1

Levante

Recent
DWDWWD
Wins 4Goals 12-8

Biggest win 4-1

  • Malaga1-1Levante
  • Levante4-2Malaga
  • Malaga0-0Levante
  • Levante1-0Malaga
  • Levante1-0Malaga
  • Malaga0-0Levante
  • Malaga3-1Levante
  • Levante0-1Malaga
  • Levante4-1Malaga
  • Malaga0-0Levante

Managers

Juan Funes

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Luis Castro

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.