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La Liga · Regular Season - 4 · Spain

Getafe v Celta Vigo

· Coliseum, Getafe

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Getafe v Celta Vigo: the model read

Getafe meet Celta Vigo in the La Liga regular season - 4 at Coliseum, Getafe.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Celta Vigo on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Getafe arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Osasuna, L 1-2 @ FK Partizan, W 1-0 v Racing Santander, W 3-1 v FK Partizan.

Celta Vigo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.

The market prices GET at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Celta Vigo: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Getafe

LWWLL8-3-9

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 30%

  • LAOsasuna0-1
  • LAFK Partizan1-2
  • WHRacing Santander1-0
  • WHFK Partizan3-1
  • LAAlaves0-3

Celta Vigo

WDDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAthletic Club0-2
  • LHOsasuna1-2
  • DAValencia0-0
  • DANapoli1-1
  • WASassuolo4-1

Managers

José Bordalás

Spain · 61

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Valencia2021–2022
  • Getafe2016–2021
  • Alaves2015–2016
  • Alcorcon2014–2015

Claudio Giraldez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.