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La Liga · Regular Season - 4 · Spain

Alaves v Osasuna

· Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Alaves v Osasuna: the model read

Alaves meet Osasuna in the La Liga regular season - 4 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alaves, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Alaves arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villarreal, D 1-1 @ Rayo Vallecano, W 3-0 v Getafe, D 1-1 @ Racing Santander.

Osasuna are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Getafe, W 2-1 @ Celta Vigo, D 0-0 v Levante, L 0-2 v Al Ain.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Alaves

WDWDW8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHVillarreal1-0
  • DARayo Vallecano1-1
  • WHGetafe3-0
  • DARacing Santander1-1
  • WHCastellón3-0

Osasuna

LLDWW7-4-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHGetafe1-0
  • WACelta Vigo2-1
  • DHLevante0-0
  • LHAl Ain0-2
  • LANapoli1-2

Managers

Quique Sanchez Flores

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Luis Ramis

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Burgos2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.