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La Liga · Regular Season - 3 · Spain

Celta Vigo v Athletic Club

0-2Full time· Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo· Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Celta Vigo v Athletic Club

Celta Vigo meet Athletic Club in the La Liga regular season - 3 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Athletic Club on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.

Celta Vigo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.

Athletic Club are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Celta Vigo, L 0-2 @ Barcelona, L 1-3 v Sevilla, L 1-3 @ Zaragoza.

The market prices CEL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Athletic Club: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Celta Vigo

WDDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAthletic Club0-2
  • LHOsasuna1-2
  • DAValencia0-0
  • DANapoli1-1
  • WASassuolo4-1

Athletic Club

LLLLW8-2-10

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WACelta Vigo2-0
  • LABarcelona0-2
  • LHSevilla1-3
  • LAZaragoza1-3
  • LAAtalanta0-1

Managers

Claudio Giraldez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Edin Terzic

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.