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La Liga · Regular Season - 1 · Spain

Celta Vigo v Osasuna

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Celta Vigo v Osasuna: the model read

Celta Vigo meet Osasuna in the La Liga regular season - 1. The model makes Celta Vigo the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CEL, 30% draw, 35% OSA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Celta Vigo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Celta Vigo at 51%; double chance reads Celta Vigo or draw 65%, Osasuna or draw 64%.

Celta Vigo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ SC Braga, W 1-0 v Sevilla, D 1-1 @ Athletic Club, L 2-3 v Levante.

Osasuna are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Getafe, L 1-2 v Espanyol, L 1-2 v Atletico Madrid, L 2-3 @ Levante.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Celta Vigo

WLDWD8-4-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DASC Braga2-2
  • WHSevilla1-0
  • DAAthletic Club1-1
  • LHLevante2-3
  • WAAtletico Madrid1-0

Osasuna

LLLLL6-6-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • LAGetafe0-1
  • LHEspanyol1-2
  • LHAtletico Madrid1-2
  • LALevante2-3
  • LHBarcelona1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Celta VigorecordOsasuna
4
4
2 draws

Goals

13-11

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Celta Vigo

Recent
LWWLWL
Wins 4Goals 13-11

Biggest win 3-0

Osasuna

Recent
WLLWLW
Wins 4Goals 11-13

Biggest win 2-0

  • Celta Vigo1-2Osasuna
  • Osasuna2-3Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo1-0Osasuna
  • Osasuna3-2Celta Vigo
  • Osasuna0-3Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo0-2Osasuna
  • Osasuna0-0Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo1-2Osasuna
  • Celta Vigo2-0Osasuna
  • Osasuna0-0Celta Vigo

Managers

Claudio Giráldez

Spain · 37

In charge since 2024 · 2 clubs managed

  • Celta de Vigo II2022–2024

A. Lisci

Italy · 40

In charge since 2025 · 4 clubs managed

  • Levante2021–2022
  • Levante II2020–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.