Where the market is wrong on Cadiz v Leganes
Cadiz meet Leganes in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leganes, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Cadiz on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Cadiz arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tenerife, L 1-2 v Girona, L 0-1 v Las Palmas, L 2-3 @ Almeria.
Leganes are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Castellón, W 3-2 v Granada CF, L 0-2 @ Tenerife, D 0-0 @ Las Palmas.
Cadiz hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cadiz 3-0 Leganes.
The market prices CAD at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
