Where the market is wrong on AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC meet Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AD Ceuta FC, 43% against 33%. Attacking output favors AD Ceuta FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
AD Ceuta FC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Real Sociedad II, D 1-1 v Valladolid, L 1-3 @ Burgos, L 0-2 v Celta de Vigo II.
Real Sociedad II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ AD Ceuta FC, L 0-1 v Mallorca, L 1-5 @ Aston Villa U21, W 3-1 @ FC Andorra.
AD Ceuta FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Ceuta FC 3-1 Real Sociedad II.
The market prices AD at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
