Where the market is wrong on Las Palmas v Burgos
Las Palmas meet Burgos in the Segunda División regular season - 6 at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Burgos, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Las Palmas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Las Palmas arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Burgos, W 1-0 @ Cadiz, D 0-0 v Leganes, L 2-5 @ Girona.
Burgos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Las Palmas, W 3-1 v AD Ceuta FC, D 0-0 @ Oviedo, D 2-2 v Real Sociedad II.
Burgos hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos.
The market prices LAS at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Burgos: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
