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Segunda División · Regular Season - 2 · Spain

Sporting Gijon v Burgos

1-0Full time· El Molinón, Gijon· Referee: G. Freixas

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sporting Gijon v Burgos: the model read

Sporting Gijon meet Burgos in the Segunda División regular season - 2 at El Molinón, Gijon.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Burgos, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sporting Gijon on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Burgos at 56%; double chance reads Sporting Gijon or draw 62%, Burgos or draw 70%.

Sporting Gijon arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Burgos, D 0-0 v Sabadell, L 2-4 v Valladolid, L 1-4 @ Racing Santander.

Burgos are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sporting Gijon, W 3-2 v Cordoba, D 0-0 v Cultural Leonesa, L 0-3 v Athletic Club.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sporting Gijon

WLLDW9-2-9

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHBurgos1-0
  • DHSabadell0-0
  • LHValladolid2-4
  • LARacing Santander1-4
  • WHGimnástica Torrelavega5-0

Burgos

WLDWL10-7-3

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LASporting Gijon0-1
  • WHCordoba3-2
  • DHCultural Leonesa0-0
  • LHAthletic Club0-3
  • WAUnionistas de Salamanca1-0

Managers

Nicolas Larcamon

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 clubs managed

  • Cruz Azul2025–2026

Sergio Francisco

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.