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III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 7 · Poland

Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

4-4Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Grom Nowy Staw v Polonia Środa

Grom Nowy Staw meet Polonia Środa in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 7.

Polonia Środa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1613 to 1482. Recent form leans Polonia Środa, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Grom Nowy Staw on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.

Grom Nowy Staw arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 14 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 v Polonia Środa, W 4-2 @ Lech Poznań II, L 3-4 v Kluczevia Stargard, L 2-4 @ Wda Świecie.

Polonia Środa are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 18 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Grom Nowy Staw, W 3-2 v Sandecja Nowy Sącz, W 4-3 v Gedania Gdansk, W 3-2 @ Lipno Stęszew.

The market prices GRO at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Grom Nowy Staw: a 10.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Grom Nowy Staw

LLLWD4-2-5

Scored 2.36 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 27.3% · BTTS 63.6%

  • DHPolonia Środa4-4
  • WALech Poznań II4-2
  • LHKluczevia Stargard3-4
  • LAWda Świecie2-4
  • LHElana Toruń1-2

Polonia Środa

WWWWD11-2-6

Scored 2.11 · Conceded 1.47 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DAGrom Nowy Staw4-4
  • WHSandecja Nowy Sącz3-2
  • WHGedania Gdansk4-3
  • WALipno Stęszew3-2
  • WHStargard Szczeciński4-1

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P. Juszczyk

Poland · 32

In charge since 2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.