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III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 5 · Poland

Victoria Września v Kotwica Kórnik

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Victoria Września v Kotwica Kórnik

Victoria Września meet Kotwica Kórnik in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 5.

Victoria Września rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Victoria Września, 55% against 35%. Attacking output favors Victoria Września on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Victoria Września at 56%; double chance reads Victoria Września or draw 69%, Kotwica Kórnik or draw 60%.

Victoria Września arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kotwica Kórnik, L 0-5 @ Flota Świnoujście, L 1-3 v Luzino, L 0-1 @ Polonia Środa.

Kotwica Kórnik are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Victoria Września, L 0-1 v Bałtyk Koszalin, D 2-2 v Kalisz, L 0-2 @ Flota Świnoujście.

Victoria Września hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Victoria Września 1-0 Kotwica Kórnik.

The market prices VIC at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Victoria Września

LLLLW10-2-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHKotwica Kórnik1-0
  • LAFlota Świnoujście0-5
  • LHLuzino1-3
  • LAPolonia Środa0-1
  • LHLech Poznań II2-5

Kotwica Kórnik

LLDLL5-4-11

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 50%

  • LAVictoria Września0-1
  • LHBałtyk Koszalin0-1
  • DHKalisz2-2
  • LAFlota Świnoujście0-2
  • LHLuzino2-6

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Victoria WrześniarecordKotwica Kórnik
1
0
0 draws

Goals

1-0

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Victoria Września

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

Kotwica Kórnik

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1
  • Victoria Września1-0Kotwica Kórnik

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.