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III Liga - Group 4 · Group IV - 10 · Poland

Naprzód v Busko-Zdroj

4-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Naprzód v Busko-Zdroj

Naprzód meet Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga - Group 4 group iv - 10.

The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naprzód, 50% against 36%. Attacking output favors Naprzód on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Naprzód arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Busko-Zdroj, W 5-2 @ Czarni Połaniec, W 4-2 v Hetman Zamosc, D 2-2 @ KSZO 1929.

Busko-Zdroj are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Naprzód, W 2-1 v Moravia Morawica, L 1-2 @ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, W 2-1 v Wiślanie Jaśkowice.

Naprzód hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naprzód 4-1 Busko-Zdroj.

The market prices NAP at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Busko-Zdroj: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Naprzód

DDWWW8-3-8

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.84 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WHBusko-Zdroj4-1
  • WACzarni Połaniec5-2
  • WHHetman Zamosc4-2
  • DAKSZO 19292-2
  • DHWisła Kraków II0-0

Busko-Zdroj

LWLWL4-2-8

Scored 1.43 · Conceded 2.14 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 78.6%

  • LANaprzód1-4
  • WHMoravia Morawica2-1
  • LAPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1-2
  • WHWiślanie Jaśkowice2-1
  • LAKorona Kielce II1-4

Head-to-head

2 meetings

NaprzódrecordBusko-Zdroj
2
0
0 draws

Goals

7-1

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Naprzód

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 7-1

Biggest win 4-1

Busko-Zdroj

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-7
  • Naprzód4-1Busko-Zdroj
  • Busko-Zdroj0-3Naprzód

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.