Naprzód v Chełmianka Chełm

Naprzód meet Chełmianka Chełm in the III Liga - Group 4 group iv - 5.

Chełmianka Chełm rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1468. Recent form leans Chełmianka Chełm, 78% against 42%. Attacking output favors Chełmianka Chełm on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Chełmianka Chełm at 69%; double chance reads Naprzód or draw 48%, Chełmianka Chełm or draw 77%.

Naprzód arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Chełmianka Chełm, L 2-4 @ Moravia Morawica, W 2-1 v Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, L 0-2 @ Wiślanie Jaśkowice.

Chełmianka Chełm are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Naprzód, W 2-1 v Wisłoka Dębica, W 3-0 @ Moravia Morawica, W 2-0 v Sokół Kolb..

Chełmianka Chełm hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naprzód 0-2 Chełmianka Chełm.

The market prices NAP at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Naprzód: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.