First Vienna v Sturm Graz II: the model read
First Vienna meet Sturm Graz II in the 2. Liga regular season - 1 at Hohe Warte Stadium, Vienna. The model makes First Vienna the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% FIR, 30% draw, 25% STU.
First Vienna rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans First Vienna, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors First Vienna on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans First Vienna at 65%; double chance reads First Vienna or draw 75%, Sturm Graz II or draw 55%.
First Vienna arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ TSV Hartberg, D 0-0 v QPR, W 4-2 @ Grazer AK, W 2-0 @ Krems / Rehberg.
Sturm Graz II are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 2-3 v Beltinci, L 1-2 v Budapest Honved, L 0-4 @ Oberwart.
First Vienna hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: First Vienna 2-1 Sturm Graz II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
