Enfield Town v AFC Hornchurch

Enfield Town meet AFC Hornchurch in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes AFC Hornchurch the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 23% ENF, 26% draw, 52% AFC.

AFC Hornchurch rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1408. Recent form leans AFC Hornchurch, 70% against 38%. Attacking output favors AFC Hornchurch on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans AFC Hornchurch at 69%; double chance reads Enfield Town or draw 48%, AFC Hornchurch or draw 77%.

Enfield Town arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Worthing, W 1-0 @ Stotfold, L 1-4 v Leyton Orient, D 3-3 @ Haringey Borough.

AFC Hornchurch are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Tottenham Hotspur U21, W 2-1 v Leyton Orient, D 1-1 v Norwich City U21, W 3-0 v Millwall U21.

AFC Hornchurch hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: AFC Hornchurch 2-2 Enfield Town.

The market prices ENF at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.