Lommel United v ADO Den Haag

Lommel United meet ADO Den Haag in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes ADO Den Haag the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 26% LOM, 27% draw, 47% ADO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ADO Den Haag, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors ADO Den Haag on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans ADO Den Haag at 65%; double chance reads Lommel United or draw 53%, ADO Den Haag or draw 74%.

Lommel United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v ADO Den Haag, W 2-1 v GO Ahead Eagles, L 1-5 @ OH Leuven, D 1-1 @ Cercle Brugge.

ADO Den Haag are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 20 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lommel United, W 3-2 @ KV Mechelen, W 5-1 @ Laakkwartier, W 3-1 @ Den Bosch.

ADO Den Haag hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lommel United 0-4 ADO Den Haag.

The market prices LOM at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on ADO Den Haag: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.