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Groningen v Emmen

3-2Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Groningen v Emmen: the model read

Groningen meet Emmen in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Groningen the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% GRO, 29% draw, 30% EMM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 33%. Attacking output favors Groningen on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Groningen at 57%; double chance reads Groningen or draw 70%, Emmen or draw 59%.

Groningen arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volos NFC, L 0-4 v FC Volendam, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, W 3-2 v Emmen.

Emmen are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Twente, L 0-2 @ Heracles, L 2-3 @ Groningen, W 1-0 v De Graafschap.

Groningen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Groningen 3-2 Emmen.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Groningen

LWLLD6-3-11

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • DHVolos NFC0-0
  • LHFC Volendam0-4
  • LHAEK Athens FC1-2
  • WHEmmen3-2
  • LAHeracles1-2

Emmen

DWLLL4-5-11

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 45%

  • LHTwente0-3
  • LAHeracles0-2
  • LAGroningen2-3
  • WHDe Graafschap1-0
  • DARoda2-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

GroningenrecordEmmen
4
0
4 draws

Goals

13-7

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Groningen

Recent
WWWDDD
Wins 4Goals 13-7

Biggest win 3-0

Emmen

Recent
LLLDDD
Wins 0Goals 7-13
  • Groningen3-2Emmen
  • Groningen3-2Emmen
  • Emmen0-3Groningen
  • Groningen0-0Emmen
  • Groningen1-1Emmen
  • Groningen1-1Emmen
  • Emmen0-0Groningen
  • Groningen2-1Emmen

Managers

D. Lukkien

Netherlands · 53

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Emmen2016–2023

A. Arts

Netherlands · 60

In charge since 2025 · 4 clubs managed

  • Emmen2024–2024
  • Cambuur2010–2013
  • Emmen2003–2003

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.