Stoke City v Oldham: the model read
Stoke City meet Oldham in the League Cup round of 128 at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Oldham on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Stoke City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Norwich, L 1-4 @ Wolves, D 1-1 v Hull City, L 1-3 @ Southampton.
Oldham are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fleetwood Town, W 3-0 v Swindon Town, L 1-2 @ Colchester, W 2-0 v Port Vale.
Stoke City hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stoke City 2-0 Oldham.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
