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League Cup · Round of 128 · England

Cardiff v Swindon Town

3-2Full time· Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff· Referee: G. Ward

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cardiff v Swindon Town: the model read

Cardiff meet Swindon Town in the League Cup round of 128 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cardiff, 60% against 47%. Attacking output favors Cardiff on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.

Cardiff arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ QPR, D 2-2 v Sheffield Utd, L 1-2 v Norwich, D 2-2 @ Derby.

Swindon Town are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Port Vale, L 0-3 @ Oldham, W 2-1 v Cheltenham, D 0-0 @ Northampton.

Cardiff hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cardiff 3-2 Swindon Town.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cardiff

DDLDL9-6-5

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAQPR1-2
  • DHSheffield Utd2-2
  • LHNorwich1-2
  • DADerby2-2
  • DHWrexham1-1

Swindon Town

LDWLW7-4-8

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 1.74 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WHPort Vale3-1
  • LAOldham0-3
  • WHCheltenham2-1
  • DANorthampton0-0
  • LACardiff2-3

Head-to-head

3 meetings

CardiffrecordSwindon Town
3
0
0 draws

Goals

9-5

for each

Avg goals

4.7

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Cardiff

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 9-5

Biggest win 4-2

Swindon Town

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 5-9
  • Cardiff3-2Swindon Town
  • Cardiff2-1Swindon Town
  • Swindon Town2-4Cardiff

Managers

Brian Barry-Murphy

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Scott Holloway Ian

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.