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League Cup · Round of 128 · England

Burton Albion v Blackburn

1-2Full time· Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent· Referee: A. Humphries

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Burton Albion v Blackburn: the model read

Burton Albion meet Blackburn in the League Cup round of 128 at Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Blackburn, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Blackburn on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Burton Albion arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Notts County, W 2-1 @ Leicester, D 1-1 v Stevenage, L 1-2 v Blackburn.

Blackburn are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Lincoln, L 1-2 v QPR, L 1-2 v Sheffield Utd, W 2-1 v Middlesbrough.

Blackburn hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Burton Albion 1-2 Blackburn.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Burton Albion

WLDWL5-8-7

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LANotts County1-2
  • WALeicester2-1
  • DHStevenage1-1
  • LHBlackburn1-2
  • WHDerby1-0

Blackburn

DWLLD7-8-5

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • DALincoln0-0
  • LHQPR1-2
  • LHSheffield Utd1-2
  • WHMiddlesbrough2-1
  • DAWolves2-2

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Burton AlbionrecordBlackburn
0
1
2 draws

Goals

4-5

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Burton Albion

Recent
LDD
Wins 0Goals 4-5

Blackburn

Recent
WDD
Wins 1Goals 5-4

Biggest win 2-1

  • Burton Albion1-2Blackburn
  • Burton Albion1-1Blackburn
  • Blackburn2-2Burton Albion

Managers

Gary Bowyer

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Tony Mowbray

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.